The People's Republic: Democrats target 7 congressional seats held by GOP

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- - - - Mark Twain (Roughing It)

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Democrats target 7 congressional seats held by GOP

The Making of a One-Party State

(Los Angeles Times) - The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has released a list of top targets looking ahead to the 2018 elections, and California's Republican delegation is a big part of it.

Of the 61 Republicans Democrats are looking to unseat nationwide, seven are Californians:

CA-10: Jeff Denham (R-Turlock)
CA-21: David Valadao (R-Hanford)
CA-25: Steve Knight (R-Palmdale)
CA-39: Ed Royce (R-Fullerton)
CA-45: Mimi Walters (R-Irvine)
CA-48: Dana Rohrabacher (R-Costa Mesa)
CA-49: Darrell Issa (R-Vista)

All of these lawmakers represent districts carried by Hillary Clinton in the general election, with Valadao's district voting for Clinton over Trump by double-digit margins. Many of them seemed to win despite Trump in 2016 , out-polling him by at least several percentage points.

Issa and Denham won by the closest margins of the group, with Issa eking out a 51-49 win over Doug Applegate, who has already said he'll run again in 2018 . Denham overcame two-time challenger Michael Eggman by less than five percentage points.

Denham, Issa and Valadao were also among the top spenders in California on a per-vote basis in the November election, spending well above $30 per each vote they received.

Read More . . . .

California's 25th congressional district election, 2016
Primary election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Knight (incumbent)	63,769	48.3
	Democratic	Bryan Caforio	38,382	29.0
	Democratic	Lou Vince	20,327	15.4
	Republican	Jeffrey Moffatt	9,620	7.3
	No party preference	Jeff Bomberger (write-in)	44	0.0
Total votes			132,142	100.0
General election
	Republican	Steve Knight (incumbent)	138,755	53.1
	Democratic	Bryan Caforio	122,406	46.9
Total votes			261,161	100.0
	Republican hold

GOP incumbents could not be defeated in a landslide Democrat year in California. It is doubtful that Dems would win seats in an off year election when their voters are more likely to stay home.

Formerly Republican Palm Springs
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The Middle Class Abandons the GOP
Middle class Congressional districts around California have abandoned the Republican Party. Formerly GOP districts from Sacramento to Santa Barbara to Ventura to Palm Springs and San Diego rejected the GOP and sent Democrats to both Washington and Sacramento.